Give yourself these cards:
♠ | A x x |
---|---|
♥ | K x |
♦ | A K T x x |
♣ | Q J x |
But what if partner only has a 13 count? Chances of the 6 level slide a bit. There are still great chances if partner has a good fit right?
You've got an 8 card diamond fit and none other. As I've come to appreciate recently 9 card fits make slams more often that 8 card fits so this is discouraging. If partner had a partial fit for clubs or hearts and a spade shortage we still might try for 12 tricks wouldn't we?
Partner is 3433. Not even a 7 card fit on the side. Just give up here, 3NT is plenty.
Yet when the dummy comes down:
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- 30 points. Balanced hands usually work on HCP.
- 14 combined losers (15 say some definitions) suggests 4♦.
- 59 Zar points (normally 62 required for slam).
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